Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.196883 0.228974 0.264702 0.307444 0.357212 0.413366 0.481586
2025-03-02 0.140530 0.181293 0.231615 0.298379 0.384773 0.492997 0.639206
2025-03-09 0.116761 0.161815 0.221552 0.306709 0.425298 0.585088 0.817617
2025-03-16 0.098520 0.144700 0.209580 0.307632 0.452598 0.659906 0.980507
2025-03-23 0.086392 0.133414 0.202869 0.313284 0.485225 0.744151 1.166370
2025-03-30 0.074243 0.119868 0.190321 0.307476 0.498542 0.799837 1.314954
2025-04-06 0.065145 0.109529 0.180898 0.304553 0.514922 0.860946 1.478773
2025-04-13 0.058326 0.101810 0.174403 0.305064 0.536240 0.931683 1.666854
2025-04-20 0.054801 0.099101 0.175719 0.318679 0.581173 1.047162 1.947322
2025-04-27 0.051303 0.095911 0.175669 0.329621 0.622350 1.160525 2.238447
2025-05-04 0.047983 0.092568 0.174836 0.338815 0.661124 1.273703 2.543609
2025-05-11 0.044189 0.087821 0.170764 0.341200 0.686897 1.364977 2.817406
2025-05-18 0.040100 0.082093 0.164323 0.338509 0.703088 1.441110 3.074562
2025-05-25 0.035698 0.075200 0.154804 0.328450 0.703108 1.485042 3.271496
2025-06-01 0.033719 0.073054 0.154581 0.337633 0.744570 1.619786 3.682926
2025-06-08 0.031200 0.069428 0.150814 0.338651 0.768314 1.719326 4.029275
2025-06-15 0.029381 0.067098 0.149512 0.344882 0.804348 1.850139 4.465469
2025-06-22 0.026768 0.062654 0.143030 0.338479 0.810427 1.913589 4.750175
2025-06-29 0.024661 0.059120 0.138181 0.335257 0.823541 1.994897 5.089746
2025-07-06 0.023014 0.056478 0.135081 0.335820 0.845866 2.100917 5.506338
2025-07-13 0.022403 0.056276 0.137726 0.350831 0.906089 2.307539 6.212839
2025-07-20 0.021639 0.055600 0.139136 0.362894 0.960328 2.505912 6.925916
2025-07-27 0.020810 0.054657 0.139773 0.373033 1.010833 2.701022 7.658305